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WOR 2 The Future of Fish – The Fisheries of the Future | 2013

Fundamentals

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Fishing to the limits

In principle the precautionary approach was a good idea. In practice, however, it failed because Fisheries Ministers consistently took the limit reference points to mean the target reference points. Instead of ensuring that limits were not exceeded, they all too often set catch volumes as close as possible to the limit. In hindsight we know that the limits – because of the uncertainties already mentioned – were often violated, meaning that in certain years more fish was caught than the stock could cope with. Moreover, authorities, mainly for political reasons, are even today allowing fishermen to catch more than researchers recommend. The BPA and the FPA were therefore entirely misconstrued by both the fishing industry and the political establishment. The result is common knowledge. In too many cases too many fish were removed, resulting in weakened stocks, particularly in poor years with low numbers of offspring.

Extra Info Why fishing at MSY levels delivers more

MSY – the new route to responsible fishing?

After only a few years, it became clear that the precautionary approach did not work. For this reason, shortly after the turn of the millennium, a different concept was developed which aimed to improve the regulation of fisheries. This traces back to the World Summit on Sustainable Development (WSSD) in Johannesburg in 2002. The summit declared its intention that global fish stocks should be fished to sustainable and responsible limits, the objective being the maximum sustainable yield (MSY). This concept goes further than the precautionary approach which was only designed to protect stocks from overfishing. MSY is designed to manage fisheries efficiently with the aim of preserving stocks and ensuring the highest long-term yields. In other words, the MSY is the largest possible catch volume which can be removed from the sea on a long-term basis without reducing the productivity of the stock. The crucial reference point is the BMSY, or Bio-massMSY. This is the total biomass which allows long-term fish yields in accordance with the MSY concept. It is large enough that neither strong fluctuations in offspring production and individual fish growth, nor years of very weak recruitment will threaten the stock.
There are already some fisheries around the world which are guided by the MSY concept – off Australia and New Zealand, for example. In most cases the BMSY value is higher than the BPA value used previously, simply because the MSY concept is geared towards the optimal use of a usually larger stock. The BPA, in contrast, was a minimum level. For this reason, the biomass which can deliver the MSY is often larger than the biomass according to the precautionary approach (BPA). Similarly, FMSY is smaller than FPA. Here too, however, there are differences from fish stock to fish stock. The reason why a fishery produces the highest yield with MSY is that there is neither too much nor too little fishing activity. An MSY catch is the happy medium, as it were. If the stock is too small, however, the stock growth is also poor because few offspring can be produced. If the stock is too large it will at some stage reach the carrying capacity of the ecosystem. This happy medium means that the right amount of biomass is produced to replace the amount that dies. With the medium-sized stock aimed for under the MSY concept, there is much less competition for food than in larger stocks with more individuals. The fish find more food, must expend less energy to find it and increase their body weight vigorously. The losses from fishing are offset by the faster growth of the animals. Fishing with MSY also means that more eggs survive and more fish can develop, due in part to the fact that there is cannibalism among predator fish such as the cod: the adult fish partially feed on eggs and larvae. Where there are large numbers of adults, the young are decimated to a much greater extent than occurs with fishing in accordance with MSY. All in all, this means that fishing to MSY levels results in more biomass being available. This is known as excess or surplus production. Surplus production is greatest with MSY.

Unbeatable team: limit and target reference points

The fishing industry and fishing ministries have abused limit and target reference points for far too long. If they had adhered strictly to the scientists’ recommendations, one single point of reference would have been sufficient. A successful fisheries management system based on the MSY concept would consequently need only the BMSY or the FMSY as the limit reference point. But the precautionary approach has shown that this does not work: BPA and FPA were fixed limit reference points, but the fishing industry and policy-makers did not apply them properly – in other words, not in the sense of sustainable fisheries. For this reason the MSY concept today uses a target reference point which the industry can be guided by, and a limit reference point as a safeguard. This type of approach has already been introduced in Australia and New Zealand. In these countries the FMSY is the limit reference point. In addition, there is a lower target reference point, the FTarget. The fisheries are accordingly required to fish only until this target reference point is achieved as closely as possible. On the other hand, the FMSY in this model, along the lines of the old BPA, is the limit reference point, which should be avoided as far as possible. The essential difference between this and the conventional precautionary approach is that the fisheries no longer align themselves towards a limit reference point but to a lower target reference point (FTarget), which safeguards the FMSY. These values are extremely important for the fisheries because it is from this that clear catch recommendations are derived. In the greater context of the MSY concept, the stock biomass BMSY is often the desired ideal, so to speak. But here too, because determination is uncertain, the BMSY is in many cases taken as the limit, not the target. In Australia, for example, the biomass target is specified along with a correspondingly higher BTarget. The USA and New Zealand have developed similar models. Although the limit and target reference points in some cases have different names, all the current MSY approaches work with limits and targets and have thus abandoned the precautionary approach which used only the lower biomass limit.

5.6 > Fishermen on the deck of the trawler “Messiah” sort cod that they have caught in the Pacific near the Aleutian Islands.. © Steven 
J. Kazlowski/Alamy/Mauritius Images

5.6 > Fishermen on the deck of the trawler “Messiah” sort cod that they have caught in the Pacific near the Aleutian Islands.

The MSY concept in practice

The MSY concept is of course a theory, an ideal which still needs to be put into practice. For many fish stocks, the problem is that they have been so severely exploited that it is impossible to know the optimal values for biomass, mortality and yield. We do not know the maximum spawning biomass of an unexploited stock, nor can we derive the BMSY with any degree of certainty. For those stocks which were already depleted and recovered after catch limits were set, the best that can be hoped for is the BLIM. One example is the cod in the eastern Baltic Sea, which occurs mainly between Sweden and Poland. The stock was overfished for years, but in recent years it has been able to recover, particularly in Poland, as a result of improved environmental conditions and better controls of catch quotas. For the past two years, however, the stock has hardly grown at all. Apparently the carrying capacity of the habitat has been reached with its current 300,000 to 400,000 tonnes spawning biomass. Although the stock was much larger in the mid-1980s, current food shortages have apparently prevented further growth. This example shows that carrying capacities can change and do in fact fluctuate strongly over the years. For this reason the BMSY cannot be stipulated with any degree of certainty. Furthermore, this biomass analysis does not take into account the age structure of the fish stock. This information is crucial, however, for any assessment of offspring numbers and weight increases in individuals.
It is also impossible to stipulate BMSY reference levels for many other intensively exploited fish stocks. For these cases we must continue to rely on the old PA values or determine a corresponding fisheries mortality rate FMSY in the coming years. These values can be ascertained even if the BMSY is unknown. The PA values would indeed be meaningful from a purely scientific point of view. They were set on the basis of many years’ experience, catch and recruitment data, and scientific sampling. They have proved to be ineffectual for fisheries management, however. The original aim of the PA concept was to allow fish stocks to slowly grow as a result of catch limits and then, as with the cod, to observe how a stock develops. To do this, however, policy-makers must set clear targets and limit catches accordingly. In a joint European research project involving more than 10 universities and institutes, researchers are now developing concepts to establish fishing on a sustainable footing in accordance with MSY while fishing continues. Fisheries off Alaska, Australia and New Zealand are already showing that fishing based on the MSY concept is possible. But the starting conditions there were better than in Europe. As industrial fishing only began about 20 years ago, the maximum stock size is known – and this could be used to reliably assess such levels as the BMSY. It is also much easier to manage fisheries in nation states such as Australia and New Zealand than in a union of states such as the EU with its many conflicting opinions. The aim of the World Summit on Sustainable Development in 2002 was to fish all worldwide fish stocks according to MSY guidelines by the year 2015. This target will not be achieved – mainly because many nations have been too hesitant and have not yet adequately limited fishing. It will therefore still take some years until all European stocks are fished in this way.

One fish species seldom comes alone

Until now fisheries management systems have in most cases examined each species separately. Catch volumes have been stipulated for individual species without considering that these are part of a food web in which the catch of one species also impacts on other species and their development. This applies in equal measure to the initial MSY management approaches. Fisheries should in future pay more attention to these interrelationships between the species. The following two interrelationships can be identified:
5.7 > Stomach content analysis shows what marine fauna feed on – in this case a crustacean, snails and a bullhead, a bony fish.
5.7 > Stomach content analysis shows what marine fauna feed on – in this case a crustacean, snails and a bullhead, a bony fish. © FISHBIO
MULTI-SPECIES APPROACH: The multi-species approach takes account of the fact that removing one species by fishing also affects other interrelated species within the ecosystem – as predators and prey for example. The multi-species approach takes account of all these interrelationships when calculating catch volumes. For instance, a fish stock should only be exploited to the extent that sufficient food remains for its predators. Depending on how many species occur in a marine area, this multi-species approach can be implemented with different degrees of success. In the Baltic Sea, only 3 protagonists are interrelated as predator and prey – cod, herring and sprat. Scientists believe fisheries management according to the multi-species principle should be possible in the Baltic Sea within the next few years. By contrast, 17 species interact in one complex system in the North Sea. For this area, therefore, it is difficult to develop a multi-species concept. Although scientists have learned a lot in recent years about how species fundamentally interact and prey on each other, little is known about the volumes involved. Analysing the stomach contents of fish or the faeces of sea birds and marine mammals is one way of determining how much of a given species is eaten. If these analyses are combined with data on speeds of digestion, a rough estimate can be made of how much fish is being consumed. But in most cases the required data is only available for certain years, as individual research projects tend to be time-limited. The data is, therefore, very unreliable. With the aid of mathematical models, however, efforts can be made to reduce these uncertainties and make a better assessment. Various projects are currently attempting to do this. The researchers hope to be capable of making a more reliable evaluation within the next 10 to 15 years.
CONCEPTS FOR MIXED FISHING: Fish of several different species are often caught in fishing nets at the same time – whether or not they are closely linked within the ecosystem. This is called mixed fishing. One example is cod and haddock. Both cod and haddock are predators, but they do not prey on each other. Their similar size and habits mean that when one species is caught, the other inevitably ends up in the net too. This makes it difficult to optimize the catch volume for a single species. Cod is more valuable than haddock but occurs in smaller numbers and is classed as overexploited in the North Sea. If we concentrate on catching cod, we can catch very little without placing the stock under further pressure. But at the same time we forgo a large volume of haddock. If, alternatively, we rely on the cheaper, more freely available haddock, cod will also end up in the net as bycatch. Intensive haddock fishing will cause the cod stocks to dwindle. There are many such interdependencies which complicate mixed fishing, especially in the North Sea. Although not all the details are yet known, researchers are hoping to establish an initial pragmatic concept for the North Sea at last, within the next two to three years. This will take the problems of mixed fishing into account and simultaneously optimize the multi-species catch in terms of the MSY.
5.8 > Natural beauty against an urban backdrop: for the citizens of Seattle, orcas in the Puget Sound are a common sight.
5.8 > Natural beauty against an urban backdrop: for the citizens of Seattle, orcas in the Puget Sound are a common sight. © Mark Sears/thewhaletrail.org

The ecosystem-based approach – the ultimate discipline

The situation becomes even more complicated if we look at the entire ecosystem – all the fish along with all the other marine dwellers. Currently there is controversy among the experts about whether it is better use of the expensive, time-consuming fishery research expeditions to find out more about the development of individual fish species – or whether all species in the ecosystem should be recorded as a whole in order to increase our understanding of the food web. Although our knowledge of these interrelationships has increased enormously, particularly over the past 20 years, we are still a long way from implementing an ecosystem-based fisheries management regime. US researchers have developed a concept for ecosystem-based fisheries management in the Puget Sound off Seattle on the west coast of the USA, and are showing how this could perhaps function. Although not yet introduced by the US authorities, this concept is considered by other experts to be viable and could serve as a model for other parts of the world. The researchers analyse the extent to which a certain species may be exploited without causing any damage to the environment. They also take into account other human impacts on marine life such as construction work, shipping and tourism. Textende
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